Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
16:00

Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 34.5f Handicap 40 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

I Am Maximus

Model win chance 14.3%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
I Am Maximus Top Pick Plan A 5.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.426), field_size(-0.218), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.173)

168 14.3% 38.1% 10.0 10.0% +4.3% Fair price
Top Of The Bill
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.895), field_size(-0.181), or_rpr_diff(+0.091)

147 2.0% 6.3% 120.0 0.8% +1.2% Fair price
Imperial Saint
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.803), field_size(-0.161), win_rate_going_bucket(+0.070)

144 2.0% 6.2% 90.0 1.1% +0.9% Fair price
Answer To Kayf
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.870), field_size(-0.186), age_at_race(-0.087)

150 1.6% 4.9% 130.0 0.8% +0.8% Fair price
Marble Sands
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.869), field_size(-0.171), age_at_race(-0.086)

147 1.5% 4.8% 120.0 0.8% +0.7% Fair price
Deep Cave
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.894), field_size(-0.189), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.075)

144 1.6% 5.1% 100.0 1.0% +0.6% Fair price
Pied Piper
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.905), field_size(-0.184), or_current(+0.065)

145 1.7% 5.4% 90.0 1.1% +0.6% Fair price
Mr Vango
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.804), field_size(-0.169), age_at_race(-0.079)

154 1.7% 5.2% 90.0 1.1% +0.6% Fair price
Firefox
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.854), field_size(-0.211), rpr_best_last3(+0.054)

160 1.7% 5.3% 85.0 1.2% +0.5% Fair price
The Real Whacker
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.861), field_size(-0.176), age_at_race(-0.070)

151 1.6% 5.1% 90.0 1.1% +0.5% Fair price
High Class Hero
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.885), field_size(-0.189), age_at_race(-0.092)

153 1.6% 5.0% 90.0 1.1% +0.5% Fair price
Buddy One
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.901), field_size(-0.165), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.073)

144 1.7% 5.3% 80.0 1.3% +0.5% Fair price
Twig
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.841), field_size(-0.165), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.132)

146 2.3% 6.9% 55.0 1.8% +0.4% Fair price
Jagwar
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.434), or_rpr_diff(+0.226), field_size(-0.200)

152 7.7% 22.4% 13.5 7.4% +0.3% Fair price
Beauport
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.881), field_size(-0.177), career_runs(-0.065)

153 1.2% 3.7% 110.0 0.9% +0.3% Fair price
Banbridge
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.838), field_size(-0.171), age_at_race(-0.075)

167 1.7% 5.2% 60.0 1.7% +0.0% Fair price
Amirite
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.984), field_size(-0.204), rpr_current(-0.070)

144 1.2% 3.7% 80.0 1.3% -0.1% Fair price
Jordans
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.849), field_size(-0.155), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.106)

150 2.1% 6.4% 44.0 2.3% -0.2% Fair price
Aint That A Shame
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.940), field_size(-0.173), age_at_race(-0.061)

144 1.4% 4.4% 60.0 1.7% -0.2% Fair price
Spanish Harlem
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.905), field_size(-0.200), avg_btn_last3(+0.076)

159 1.5% 4.7% 55.0 1.8% -0.3% Fair price
Three Card Brag
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.897), field_size(-0.202), age_at_race(-0.061)

156 1.2% 3.9% 65.0 1.5% -0.3% Fair price
Grangeclare West
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.742), field_size(-0.216), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.095)

166 7.7% 22.3% 12.5 8.0% -0.3% Fair price
Quai De Bourbon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.879), field_size(-0.203), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.063)

151 2.0% 6.1% 42.0 2.4% -0.4% Fair price
Spillanes Tower
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.797), field_size(-0.175), trainer_winpct_class(+0.060)

164 1.4% 4.3% 50.0 2.0% -0.6% Fair price
Gerri Colombe
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.664), field_size(-0.154), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.101)

166 2.4% 7.4% 32.0 3.1% -0.7% Fair price
Final Orders
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.886), or_rpr_diff(+0.220), field_size(-0.214)

147 1.9% 6.0% 36.0 2.8% -0.8% Fair price
Favori De Champdou
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.857), field_size(-0.229), or_rpr_diff(+0.180)

157 1.7% 5.1% 40.0 2.5% -0.9% Fair price
Lecky Watson
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.896), field_size(-0.190), or_current(-0.061)

158 1.2% 3.8% 48.0 2.1% -0.9% Fair price
Champ Kiely
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.851), field_size(-0.218), age_at_race(-0.093)

157 1.3% 4.1% 42.0 2.4% -1.1% Fair price
Gorgeous Tom
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.883), field_size(-0.195), rpr_best_last3(+0.061)

151 1.7% 5.1% 36.0 2.8% -1.1% Fair price
Perceval Legallois
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.826), field_size(-0.191), age_at_race(-0.085)

151 1.5% 4.5% 36.0 2.8% -1.3% Fair price
Stellar Story
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.878), field_size(-0.200), or_rpr_diff(+0.120)

153 1.5% 4.8% 34.0 2.9% -1.4% Fair price
Johnnywho
Top factors

or_rpr_diff(+0.274), field_size(-0.211), avg_btn_last3(+0.087)

146 5.0% 14.9% 15.5 6.5% -1.5% Fair price
Nick Rockett
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.690), field_size(-0.201), or_current(-0.091)

167 1.5% 4.8% 30.0 3.3% -1.8% Fair price
Captain Cody
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.575), field_size(-0.200), days_since_last_win(-0.067)

152 2.3% 7.0% 24.0 4.2% -1.9% Fair price
Panic Attack
Top factors

field_size(-0.153), sp_rank(+0.125), age_at_race(-0.094)

147 4.7% 14.2% 14.5 6.9% -2.2% Fair price
Haiti Couleurs
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.623), field_size(-0.178), age_at_race(-0.092)

166 1.8% 5.6% 23.0 4.3% -2.5% Fair price
Oscars Brother
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.293), field_size(-0.192), or_current(-0.095)

155 2.7% 8.2% 19.0 5.3% -2.6% Fair price
Montys Star
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.473), field_size(-0.173), or_current(-0.093)

159 2.0% 6.2% 21.0 4.8% -2.8% Fair price
Iroko
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.270), field_size(-0.169), or_current(-0.098)

157 2.4% 7.5% 16.5 6.1% -3.6% Opposable