Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
16:00

Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 34.5f Handicap 37 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

I Am Maximus

Model win chance 13.9%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
I Am Maximus Top Pick Plan A 2.1pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.415), field_size(-0.212), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.173)

168 13.9% 37.4% 9.4 10.6% +3.3% Fair price
Top Of The Bill
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.896), field_size(-0.184), or_rpr_diff(+0.090)

147 2.0% 6.2% 140.0 0.7% +1.3% Fair price
Buddy One
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.899), field_size(-0.164), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.073)

144 1.8% 5.5% 170.0 0.6% +1.2% Fair price
Answer To Kayf
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.871), field_size(-0.186), age_at_race(-0.087)

150 1.6% 5.1% 160.0 0.6% +1.0% Fair price
The Real Whacker
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.862), field_size(-0.177), age_at_race(-0.070)

151 1.7% 5.2% 140.0 0.7% +1.0% Fair price
Deep Cave
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.893), field_size(-0.188), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.075)

144 1.7% 5.2% 130.0 0.8% +0.9% Fair price
Mr Vango
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.803), field_size(-0.175), age_at_race(-0.079)

154 1.7% 5.4% 110.0 0.9% +0.8% Fair price
Marble Sands
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.869), field_size(-0.172), age_at_race(-0.086)

147 1.5% 4.8% 140.0 0.7% +0.8% Fair price
Twig
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.845), field_size(-0.168), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.127)

146 2.2% 6.9% 70.0 1.4% +0.8% Fair price
Imperial Saint
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.802), field_size(-0.161), win_rate_going_bucket(+0.070)

144 2.0% 6.3% 80.0 1.3% +0.8% Fair price
Aint That A Shame
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.934), field_size(-0.183), age_at_race(-0.065)

144 1.4% 4.3% 150.0 0.7% +0.7% Fair price
Amirite
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.965), field_size(-0.201), rpr_current(-0.071)

144 1.3% 3.9% 170.0 0.6% +0.7% Fair price
High Class Hero
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.888), field_size(-0.189), avg_btn_last3(+0.083)

153 1.6% 5.1% 100.0 1.0% +0.6% Fair price
Beauport
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.883), field_size(-0.174), age_at_race(-0.066)

153 1.2% 3.9% 140.0 0.7% +0.5% Fair price
Firefox
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.832), field_size(-0.210), rpr_best_last3(+0.064)

160 1.8% 5.5% 80.0 1.3% +0.5% Fair price
Banbridge
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.838), field_size(-0.171), age_at_race(-0.075)

167 1.7% 5.3% 70.0 1.4% +0.3% Fair price
Spanish Harlem
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.905), field_size(-0.201), avg_btn_last3(+0.082)

159 1.6% 5.0% 75.0 1.3% +0.3% Fair price
Jordans
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.846), field_size(-0.155), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.106)

150 2.1% 6.5% 50.0 2.0% +0.1% Fair price
Three Card Brag
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.863), field_size(-0.199), age_at_race(-0.063)

156 1.3% 4.0% 80.0 1.3% +0.0% Fair price
Jagwar
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.442), or_rpr_diff(+0.225), field_size(-0.206)

152 7.5% 21.9% 13.0 7.7% -0.2% Fair price
Favori De Champdou
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.847), field_size(-0.229), or_rpr_diff(+0.186)

157 1.8% 5.7% 46.0 2.2% -0.3% Fair price
Grangeclare West
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.752), field_size(-0.216), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.091)

166 7.9% 22.9% 12.0 8.3% -0.5% Fair price
Gerri Colombe
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.610), field_size(-0.155), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.111)

166 2.8% 8.5% 30.0 3.3% -0.6% Fair price
Final Orders
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.886), or_rpr_diff(+0.218), field_size(-0.213)

147 2.0% 6.1% 38.0 2.6% -0.7% Fair price
Quai De Bourbon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.682), field_size(-0.203), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.058)

151 2.4% 7.3% 32.0 3.1% -0.8% Fair price
Champ Kiely
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.853), field_size(-0.220), age_at_race(-0.087)

157 1.3% 4.1% 42.0 2.4% -1.1% Fair price
Gorgeous Tom
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.875), field_size(-0.197), rpr_best_last3(+0.060)

151 1.8% 5.6% 34.0 2.9% -1.1% Fair price
Panic Attack
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.414), field_size(-0.166), age_at_race(-0.100)

147 6.4% 19.0% 13.0 7.7% -1.3% Fair price
Johnnywho
Top factors

or_rpr_diff(+0.273), field_size(-0.216), sp_rank(+0.096)

146 5.9% 17.5% 14.0 7.1% -1.3% Fair price
Lecky Watson
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.896), field_size(-0.191), or_current(-0.061)

158 1.3% 3.9% 40.0 2.5% -1.3% Fair price
Perceval Legallois
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.825), field_size(-0.189), age_at_race(-0.083)

151 1.5% 4.7% 36.0 2.8% -1.3% Fair price
Stellar Story
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.856), field_size(-0.202), or_rpr_diff(+0.124)

153 1.6% 5.0% 34.0 2.9% -1.3% Fair price
Captain Cody
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.567), field_size(-0.194), days_since_last_win(-0.066)

152 2.4% 7.5% 25.0 4.0% -1.6% Fair price
Oscars Brother
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.535), field_size(-0.197), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.073)

155 2.5% 7.8% 22.0 4.5% -2.0% Fair price
Haiti Couleurs
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.501), field_size(-0.178), age_at_race(-0.093)

166 1.9% 5.8% 21.0 4.8% -2.9% Fair price
Montys Star
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.315), field_size(-0.171), or_current(-0.098)

159 2.6% 8.0% 18.0 5.6% -3.0% Fair price
Iroko
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.277), field_size(-0.168), or_current(-0.100)

157 2.3% 7.2% 17.5 5.7% -3.4% Opposable