National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
| Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Big Bang
Plan A 1.5pt
Top factorssp_rank(+0.371), win_rate_course(+0.200), market_confidence(-0.152) | 139 | 17.2% | 46.6% | 13.0 | 7.7% | +9.5% | Strong value |
| Holloway Queen Top factorssp_rank(-0.172), jockey_winpct_90d(+0.127), market_confidence(-0.127) | 134 | 7.5% | 23.3% | 32.0 | 3.1% | +4.4% | Fair price |
| Holokea Top factorssp_rank(-0.548), weight_vs_field_avg(+0.271), market_implied_prob(-0.238) | 124 | 4.5% | 14.6% | 34.0 | 2.9% | +1.6% | Fair price |
| Silver Thorn Top factorssp_rank(-0.892), trainer_winpct_90d(+0.221), market_implied_prob(-0.219) | 124 | 2.9% | 9.6% | 60.0 | 1.7% | +1.3% | Fair price |
| Backmersackme Top factorssp_rank(+1.324), market_confidence(-0.215), field_size(-0.131) | 135 | 17.3% | 46.9% | 5.8 | 17.2% | +0.1% | Fair price |
| First Confession Top factorssp_rank(-0.874), market_implied_prob(-0.274), market_confidence(-0.132) | 133 | 1.8% | 6.1% | 50.0 | 2.0% | -0.2% | Fair price |
| Union Station Top factorssp_rank(-0.871), market_implied_prob(-0.338), market_confidence(-0.123) | 131 | 1.9% | 6.2% | 44.0 | 2.3% | -0.4% | Fair price |
| Will Do Top factorssp_rank(-0.861), market_implied_prob(-0.319), market_confidence(-0.108) | 137 | 1.6% | 5.4% | 46.0 | 2.2% | -0.5% | Fair price |
| Guard The Moon Top factorssp_rank(-0.850), market_implied_prob(-0.329), market_confidence(-0.136) | 137 | 1.7% | 5.7% | 42.0 | 2.4% | -0.7% | Fair price |
| Pic Roc Top factorssp_rank(-0.337), market_implied_prob(-0.255), market_confidence(-0.121) | 141 | 2.8% | 9.2% | 27.0 | 3.7% | -0.9% | Fair price |
| Grand Geste Top factorssp_rank(-0.281), market_implied_prob(-0.209), market_confidence(-0.127) | 135 | 3.7% | 11.9% | 21.0 | 4.8% | -1.1% | Fair price |
| King Of Answers Top factorsmarket_implied_prob(-0.225), sp_rank(-0.213), market_confidence(-0.134) | 140 | 4.0% | 12.8% | 18.5 | 5.4% | -1.4% | Fair price |
| Kurasso Blue Top factorssp_rank(-0.256), market_implied_prob(-0.227), market_confidence(-0.128) | 142 | 4.0% | 12.7% | 18.5 | 5.4% | -1.5% | Fair price |
| Walking On Air Top factorsmarket_confidence(-0.099), sp_rank(-0.084), days_since_last_run(-0.062) | 127 | 4.6% | 14.8% | 14.5 | 6.9% | -2.3% | Fair price |
| Iceberg Theory Top factorssp_rank(+0.504), market_confidence(-0.152), market_implied_prob(-0.088) | 133 | 7.1% | 22.1% | 9.6 | 10.4% | -3.3% | Opposable |
| Wade Out Top factorssp_rank(+0.245), market_confidence(-0.147), field_size(-0.044) | 144 | 6.5% | 20.4% | 9.8 | 10.2% | -3.7% | Opposable |
| Newton Tornado Top factorssp_rank(+0.753), market_confidence(-0.276), or_trend_last5(+0.119) | 133 | 10.6% | 31.6% | 6.0 | 16.7% | -6.0% | Opposable |