Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Thu 9 Apr
15:30

Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase

Aintree chase 2 21f 25 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Barton Snow

Model win chance 20.6%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
A Moments Madness
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.942), field_size(-0.181), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.122)

112 2.8% 9.1% 85.0 1.2% +1.7% Fair price
Empire De Maulde
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.933), field_size(-0.166), age_at_race(-0.045)

117 1.9% 6.1% 430.0 0.2% +1.7% Fair price
Hollywood Harmon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.987), field_size(-0.170), or_current(+0.088)

112 1.8% 5.7% 630.0 0.2% +1.6% Fair price
Great Notions
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.984), field_size(-0.190), or_current(+0.097)

110 2.1% 6.7% 220.0 0.4% +1.6% Fair price
Whats The Solution
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.966), field_size(-0.167), or_current(-0.084)

1.7% 5.5% 320.0 0.3% +1.4% Fair price
Fan De Blues
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.942), field_size(-0.158), or_current(+0.053)

127 1.7% 5.6% 280.0 0.4% +1.4% Fair price
Densworth
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.978), field_size(-0.181), or_current(+0.067)

127 1.9% 6.2% 150.0 0.7% +1.3% Fair price
Enqarde
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.917), field_size(-0.168), days_since_last_win(-0.041)

118 1.8% 5.7% 180.0 0.6% +1.2% Fair price
Fairly Famous
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.851), field_size(-0.161), age_at_race(-0.100)

125 2.2% 7.0% 90.0 1.1% +1.1% Fair price
Snipe
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.872), field_size(-0.174), combo_winpct(+0.064)

125 2.1% 6.6% 90.0 1.1% +0.9% Fair price
Java Point
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.886), field_size(-0.121), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.088)

125 2.0% 6.5% 80.0 1.3% +0.8% Fair price
A Jet Of Our Own
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.889), field_size(-0.175), avg_btn_last3(+0.085)

118 2.0% 6.4% 80.0 1.3% +0.8% Fair price
Joker De Mai
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.357), field_size(-0.143), or_current(+0.119)

122 4.4% 13.8% 27.0 3.7% +0.7% Fair price
Take All
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.750), field_size(-0.155), or_current(+0.069)

125 2.2% 7.1% 55.0 1.8% +0.4% Fair price
Famous Clermont
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.899), field_size(-0.165), avg_btn_last3(-0.082)

135 2.1% 6.6% 60.0 1.7% +0.4% Fair price
Golden Son
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.184), field_size(-0.181), days_since_last_win(-0.091)

131 6.2% 19.2% 17.0 5.9% +0.4% Fair price
Gaboriot
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.653), field_size(-0.161), age_at_race(-0.074)

123 2.5% 8.1% 44.0 2.3% +0.2% Fair price
Gracchus De Balme
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.196), field_size(-0.139), age_at_race(-0.100)

132 4.7% 14.8% 21.0 4.8% -0.0% Fair price
Willewonga
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.670), field_size(-0.180), or_current(+0.090)

125 2.9% 9.3% 32.0 3.1% -0.2% Fair price
Music Drive
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.567), field_size(-0.187), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.093)

133 3.1% 9.9% 28.0 3.6% -0.4% Fair price
Thunder Rock
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.195), field_size(-0.133), age_at_race(-0.079)

132 4.3% 13.6% 20.0 5.0% -0.7% Fair price
Lets Go Champ
Top factors

field_size(-0.163), days_since_last_win(-0.078), sp_rank(+0.060)

137 4.8% 14.9% 17.5 5.7% -0.9% Fair price
Unexpected Party
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.435), field_size(-0.165), rpr_best_last3(+0.078)

147 7.2% 21.9% 8.0 12.5% -5.3% Opposable
Its On The Line
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.764), field_size(-0.181), age_at_race(-0.159)

140 11.0% 31.8% 5.4 18.5% -7.5% Opposable
Barton Snow Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.335), field_size(-0.292), age_at_race(-0.116)

145 20.6% 52.0% 3.2 31.3% -10.6% Opposable