14:55
Racing Welfare Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Aintree chase 1 25f Grade 1 5 runners
3 places @ 1/4
Top-Pick Benchmark
Jango Baie
Model win chance 52.8%
1pt Win
+1.00
Top pick won.
Strong-Value Overlay
1 bet in this race
Win
+1.00
E/W
+0.62
| Pos | Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict | Win P&L | E/W P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Jango Baie
Top Pick
Bet
Plan A 2.5pt
Top factorssp_rank(+1.605), field_size(+0.308), or_rpr_diff(+0.144) | 167 | 52.8% | 94.9% | 2.0 | 41.7% | +11.1% | Strong value | +1.00 | +0.62 |
| 3rd | Pic dOrhy Top factorsfield_size(+0.315), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.084), age_at_race(-0.077) | 162 | 7.0% | 35.1% | 13.0 | 5.0% | +2.0% | Fair price | ||
| — | Impaire Et Passe Top factorssp_rank(+0.854), field_size(+0.304), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.112) | 160 | 19.9% | 74.0% | 5.0 | 20.4% | -0.5% | Fair price | ||
| — | Spillanes Tower Top factorssp_rank(+0.340), field_size(+0.296), rpr_best_last5(+0.081) | 164 | 11.2% | 52.2% | 6.5 | 17.5% | -6.3% | Opposable | ||
| 2nd | Protektorat Top factorsfield_size(+0.328), sp_rank(+0.182), age_at_race(-0.095) | 165 | 9.1% | 43.9% | 6.0 | 16.7% | -7.6% | Opposable |