Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Thu 9 Apr
16:05

William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 20f Grade 1 7 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Brighterdaysahead

Model win chance 41.3%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Brighterdaysahead Top Pick Bet Plan A 1.5pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.632), field_size(+0.108), or_current(+0.085)

159 41.3% 88.0% 3.1 31.8% +9.6% Strong value
Lucky Place
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.348), field_size(+0.124), combo_winpct(+0.066)

151 4.4% 19.5% 55.0 1.8% +2.5% Fair price
Alexei
Top factors

field_size(+0.150), rpr_best_last3(+0.093), is_grade1(-0.082)

158 7.8% 33.3% 14.0 7.1% +0.6% Fair price
Golden Ace
Top factors

field_size(+0.094), is_grade1(-0.070), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.064)

150 5.9% 26.0% 12.0 8.3% -2.4% Fair price
Potters Charm
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.273), field_size(+0.135), is_grade1(-0.114)

154 4.0% 17.8% 15.0 6.7% -2.7% Fair price
The New Lion
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.810), field_size(+0.213), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.135)

160 27.8% 78.1% 3.2 31.3% -3.5% Opposable
El Fabiolo
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.333), age_at_race(-0.110), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.097)

155 8.8% 37.3% 6.0 16.7% -7.8% Opposable