14:20
William Hill Manifesto Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Aintree chase 1 20f Grade 1 5 runners
Top-Pick Benchmark
Lulamba
Model win chance 52.1%
1pt Win
Pending
Strong-Value Overlay
1 bet in this race
Win
+0.00
E/W
+0.00
| Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mambonumberfive
Bet
Plan A 1.5pt
Top factorssp_rank(+0.441), field_size(+0.305), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.084) | 146 | 19.0% | 72.4% | 17.0 | 5.9% | +13.2% | Strong value |
| Blueking dOroux Top factorsfield_size(+0.259), is_grade1(-0.083), sp_rank(+0.083) | 143 | 9.5% | 45.1% | 18.0 | 5.6% | +4.0% | Fair price |
| Jax Junior Top factorsfield_size(+0.229), is_grade1(-0.098), race_class_num(-0.042) | 145 | 5.3% | 26.9% | 19.5 | 5.1% | +0.2% | Fair price |
| Lulamba
Top Pick
Top factorssp_rank(+1.597), field_size(+0.342), rpr_best_last5(+0.101) | 162 | 52.1% | 94.7% | 1.7 | 58.8% | -6.7% | Opposable |
| Koktail Divin Top factorssp_rank(+0.872), field_size(+0.285), is_grade1(-0.118) | 150 | 14.0% | 60.8% | 4.0 | 25.3% | -11.3% | Opposable |