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Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Thu 9 Apr
13:45

Boodles Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 17f Grade 1 10 runners 3 places @ 1/4

Top-Pick Benchmark

Selma De Vary

Model win chance 41.1%

1pt Win

-1.00

Top pick lost.

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

-1.00

E/W

-0.22

Pos Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict Win P&L E/W P&L
2nd
Selma De Vary Top Pick Bet Plan A 2.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.553), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.174), avg_btn_last3(+0.096)

138 41.1% 84.4% 3.3 25.6% +15.4% Strong value -1.00 -0.22
9th
Lord
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.392), or_current(+0.099), btn_trend_last5(+0.068)

126 4.0% 16.2% 67.0 1.4% +2.6% Fair price
7th
Ammes
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.185), or_current(+0.096), is_grade1(-0.058)

126 4.2% 16.6% 41.0 2.2% +2.0% Fair price
3rd
Indian River
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.249), or_current(+0.107), is_grade1(-0.062)

127 3.5% 14.0% 26.0 1.7% +1.8% Fair price
Aqua Bleu
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.685), or_current(+0.096), is_grade1(-0.063)

126 2.7% 10.9% 41.0 1.2% +1.5% Fair price
4th
Wolf Rayet
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.700), or_current(+0.099), is_grade1(-0.062)

130 2.4% 9.7% 81.0 1.0% +1.4% Fair price
5th
Maestro Conti
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.834), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.118), combo_winpct(+0.089)

143 18.6% 58.8% 4.0 22.2% -3.6% Opposable
1st
Mange Tout
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.103), is_grade1(-0.059), place_rate_overall(+0.054)

138 7.2% 27.6% 6.0 13.9% -6.7% Opposable
6th
Winston Junior
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.114), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.091), is_grade1(-0.075)

138 7.2% 27.5% 7.5 13.9% -6.7% Opposable
8th
Minella Study
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.425), avg_btn_last3(+0.087), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.077)

143 9.2% 34.5% 5.5 18.9% -9.6% Opposable