Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Thu 9 Apr
16:40

Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 16f Handicap 15 runners 3 places @ 1/4

Top-Pick Benchmark

Sans Bruit

Model win chance 24.4%

1pt Win

-1.00

Top pick lost.

Pos Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict Win P&L E/W P&L
3rd
Sans Bruit Top Pick Plan A 1.5pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.403), field_size(-0.108), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.066)

133 24.4% 60.4% 3.8 20.0% +4.4% Fair price
9th
Grain dOudairies
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.912), age_at_race(-0.095), avg_btn_last3(+0.076)

128 2.8% 9.3% 67.0 0.7% +2.1% Fair price
12th
Hercule Du Seuil
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.833), field_size(-0.063), rpr_best_last3(+0.062)

145 2.9% 9.7% 51.0 1.3% +1.7% Fair price
11th
Dr T J Eckleburg
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.909), or_rpr_diff(+0.113), or_current(+0.078)

120 2.9% 9.8% 51.0 1.4% +1.5% Fair price
5th
Wonleg
Top factors

or_current(+0.120), sp_rank(-0.068), race_class_num(-0.042)

129 7.8% 24.9% 15.0 6.9% +1.0% Fair price
8th
Boothill
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.659), field_size(-0.073), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.073)

141 2.9% 9.6% 26.0 2.0% +0.9% Fair price
7th
Petit Tonnerre
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.649), or_current(+0.096), field_size(-0.066)

130 3.1% 10.3% 41.0 2.3% +0.8% Fair price
13th
Brookie
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.623), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.093), age_at_race(-0.083)

145 3.0% 9.9% 29.0 2.5% +0.5% Fair price
1st
Ryans Rocket
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.269), field_size(-0.073), or_current(+0.059)

132 5.2% 17.0% 15.0 6.3% -1.1% Fair price
Stencil
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.874), field_size(-0.136), jockey_festival_winpct(+0.048)

139 15.4% 43.9% 4.3 16.7% -1.3% Fair price
4th
Jasko Des Dames
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.622), field_size(-0.076), or_current(+0.044)

135 2.9% 9.8% 19.0 4.3% -1.4% Fair price
6th
Palamon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.414), or_current(+0.126), avg_btn_last3(-0.093)

116 4.4% 14.4% 17.0 6.1% -1.7% Fair price
2nd
Highlands Legacy
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.107), avg_btn_last3(+0.075), field_size(-0.069)

133 8.0% 25.3% 6.5 11.9% -3.9% Opposable
14th
Inthepocket
Top factors

age_at_race(-0.064), rpr_best_last3(+0.038), days_since_last_win(-0.038)

146 6.0% 19.6% 9.0 10.4% -4.4% Opposable
10th
Javert Allen
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.347), pct_trouble(-0.076), field_size(-0.064)

126 8.3% 26.1% 8.5 13.5% -5.2% Opposable