Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Thu 9 Apr
17:15

Goffs Nickel Coin Mares' Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

Aintree nh_flat 1 17f Grade 2 20 runners 3 places @ 1/4

Top-Pick Benchmark

Princess Day

Model win chance 25.1%

1pt Win

-1.00

Top pick lost.

Pos Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict Win P&L E/W P&L
11th
Princess Day Top Pick Plan A 1.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.547), field_size(-0.217), avg_btn_last3(+0.114)

25.1% 61.2% 3.0 23.3% +1.9% Fair price
14th
Billey Shiftit
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.955), field_size(-0.147), or_current(-0.108)

1.7% 5.6% 201.0 0.8% +0.9% Fair price
18th
One Dimensional
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.959), field_size(-0.143), or_current(-0.090)

2.0% 6.9% 126.0 1.3% +0.7% Fair price
15th
Peace Belle
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.981), field_size(-0.145), or_current(-0.081)

1.7% 5.7% 126.0 1.1% +0.6% Fair price
10th
Ladies Day
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.939), field_size(-0.153), avg_btn_last3(+0.084)

2.3% 7.8% 41.0 1.8% +0.5% Fair price
13th
Roxy Russet
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.959), field_size(-0.122), or_current(-0.108)

1.5% 5.2% 151.0 1.3% +0.3% Fair price
19th
Brave Lady
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.954), field_size(-0.162), or_current(-0.092)

2.0% 6.8% 67.0 2.0% +0.0% Fair price
1st
Nans Choice
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.550), field_size(-0.156), combo_winpct(+0.083)

10.8% 32.7% 5.5 10.9% -0.1% Fair price
20th
Midnight Musical
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.989), field_size(-0.150), or_current(-0.131)

1.3% 4.5% 126.0 1.5% -0.2% Fair price
16th
Divine Diva
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.711), field_size(-0.159), or_current(-0.105)

2.7% 9.0% 21.0 2.9% -0.3% Fair price
12th
Burds Of A Feather
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.308), field_size(-0.121), or_current(-0.096)

7.6% 24.2% 12.0 8.0% -0.4% Fair price
17th
Martini Majesty
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.704), field_size(-0.156), or_current(-0.121)

3.1% 10.2% 34.0 3.5% -0.4% Fair price
5th
It Would Be You
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.996), field_size(-0.151), or_current(-0.103)

1.6% 5.2% 51.0 2.3% -0.7% Fair price
4th
Emerald Quest
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.828), field_size(-0.169), or_current(-0.121)

1.9% 6.4% 29.0 2.6% -0.7% Fair price
2nd
Lennon Grove
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.246), field_size(-0.149), or_current(-0.079)

7.0% 22.3% 8.0 8.0% -1.0% Fair price
6th
Seven Stars
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.699), field_size(-0.170), or_current(-0.121)

2.7% 9.1% 26.0 4.0% -1.3% Fair price
8th
Timamzel
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.853), field_size(-0.247), avg_btn_last3(+0.102)

13.3% 38.9% 4.5 15.6% -2.4% Fair price
9th
Tiktok Casey
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.232), field_size(-0.123), or_current(-0.098)

5.0% 16.2% 21.0 7.7% -2.7% Fair price
3rd
Fairy Park
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.319), or_current(-0.147), field_size(-0.113)

4.2% 13.7% 10.0 7.1% -3.0% Fair price
7th
Kiltybo
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.365), or_current(-0.167), field_size(-0.127)

2.6% 8.6% 23.0 7.1% -4.6% Opposable