Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Fri 10 Apr
14:20

William Hill Mildmay Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 25f Grade 1 8 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Gold Dancer

Model win chance 33.3%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Gold Dancer Top Pick Bet Plan A 2.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.506), field_size(+0.102), rpr_best_last3(+0.065)

153 33.3% 76.9% 4.7 21.3% +12.0% Strong value
Crest Of Fortune
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.395), field_size(+0.100), or_current(+0.092)

135 4.9% 18.3% 85.0 1.2% +3.8% Fair price
Salver
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.907), field_size(+0.167), is_grade1(-0.073)

152 20.5% 60.1% 4.9 20.4% +0.1% Fair price
Doyen Quest
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.314), field_size(+0.089), days_since_last_win(-0.081)

144 5.0% 18.4% 17.5 5.7% -0.8% Fair price
Jordans Cross
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.221), field_size(+0.118), is_grade1(-0.087)

140 5.3% 19.6% 16.0 6.3% -1.0% Fair price
Wendigo
Top factors

field_size(+0.118), rpr_current(+0.072), is_grade1(-0.067)

149 9.2% 32.2% 8.2 12.2% -3.0% Opposable
Miami Magic
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.389), or_rpr_diff(+0.119), field_size(+0.105)

145 13.3% 44.1% 5.6 17.9% -4.6% Opposable
Regents Stroll
Top factors

field_size(+0.118), sp_rank(+0.085), is_grade1(-0.076)

145 8.6% 30.5% 6.0 16.7% -8.1% Opposable