Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Fri 10 Apr
14:20

William Hill Mildmay Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 25f Grade 1 8 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Salver

Model win chance 35.3%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Salver Top Pick Bet Plan A 3.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.505), field_size(+0.146), rpr_current(+0.085)

152 35.3% 79.0% 4.7 21.3% +14.0% Strong value
Crest Of Fortune
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.388), field_size(+0.093), or_current(+0.088)

135 4.3% 16.3% 34.0 2.9% +1.4% Fair price
Doyen Quest
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.304), days_since_last_win(-0.087), field_size(+0.084)

144 4.3% 16.2% 16.0 6.3% -1.9% Fair price
Gold Dancer
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.834), field_size(+0.124), rpr_best_last3(+0.067)

153 17.4% 54.1% 5.0 20.0% -2.6% Fair price
Jordans Cross
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.216), field_size(+0.117), is_grade1(-0.087)

140 5.2% 19.2% 11.0 9.1% -3.9% Opposable
Regents Stroll
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.452), pct_trouble(-0.111), field_size(+0.107)

145 13.3% 44.3% 5.4 18.5% -5.3% Opposable
Wendigo
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.149), field_size(+0.139), is_grade1(-0.074)

149 11.2% 38.5% 5.7 17.5% -6.4% Opposable
Miami Magic
Top factors

or_rpr_diff(+0.136), field_size(+0.084), trainer_winpct_30d(+0.063)

145 9.1% 32.4% 6.4 15.6% -6.5% Opposable