Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Fri 10 Apr
16:40

Oddschecker Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 24.5f Grade 1 13 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

No Drama This End

Model win chance 31.1%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
No Drama This End Top Pick Bet Plan A 1.5pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.522), avg_btn_last3(+0.111), place_rate_overall(+0.046)

144 31.1% 71.2% 4.5 22.2% +8.8% Strong value
Seaniecon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.762), or_current(+0.100), field_size(-0.057)

124 2.9% 10.1% 85.0 1.2% +1.7% Fair price
Frankie John
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.647), or_current(+0.066), jockey_winpct_race_type(-0.052)

133 2.9% 10.2% 80.0 1.3% +1.7% Fair price
Catchintsavo
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.955), or_current(+0.060), is_grade1(-0.056)

126 2.3% 8.2% 110.0 0.9% +1.4% Fair price
Kripticjim
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.212), or_current(+0.072), avg_btn_last3(+0.059)

136 5.4% 18.5% 22.0 4.5% +0.8% Fair price
Harbour Island
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.645), or_current(+0.093), is_grade1(-0.061)

131 3.3% 11.5% 36.0 2.8% +0.5% Fair price
Good Girl Kathleen
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.658), or_current(+0.080), is_grade1(-0.062)

133 3.2% 11.4% 36.0 2.8% +0.5% Fair price
Talk To The Man
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.183), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.083), combo_winpct(+0.064)

130 6.0% 20.4% 17.0 5.9% +0.1% Fair price
Dalston Lad
Top factors

jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.084), combo_winpct(+0.074), field_size(-0.047)

136 8.8% 29.0% 11.0 9.1% -0.3% Fair price
Shadow Paddy
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.437), or_current(+0.122), jockey_winpct_race_type(-0.055)

133 3.3% 11.6% 28.0 3.6% -0.3% Fair price
Johnnys Jury
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.719), field_size(-0.105), avg_btn_last3(+0.087)

147 14.6% 44.2% 4.9 20.4% -5.8% Opposable
Mondouiboy
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.409), is_grade1(-0.070), field_size(-0.051)

142 8.2% 27.1% 7.0 14.3% -6.1% Opposable
Zeus Power
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.334), avg_btn_last3(+0.056), is_grade1(-0.054)

146 8.0% 26.7% 7.0 14.3% -6.3% Opposable