14:55
ThatPrizeGuy Top Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Aintree hurdle 1 16.5f Grade 1 6 runners
Top-Pick Benchmark
Sober Glory
Model win chance 43.1%
1pt Win
Pending
Strong-Value Overlay
1 bet in this race
Win
+0.00
E/W
+0.00
| Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinnatra
Bet
Plan A 1.5pt
Top factorssp_rank(+0.441), field_size(+0.219), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.104) | 134 | 18.1% | 62.8% | 9.4 | 10.6% | +7.5% | Strong value |
| La Conquiere Top factorsfield_size(+0.213), sp_rank(+0.130), is_grade1(-0.105) | 132 | 9.0% | 36.4% | 15.5 | 6.5% | +2.5% | Fair price |
| Storming George Top factorssp_rank(-0.207), field_size(+0.177), is_grade1(-0.077) | 131 | 5.4% | 22.9% | 30.0 | 3.3% | +2.0% | Fair price |
| Starting Fifteen Top factorsfield_size(+0.136), is_grade1(-0.113), race_class_num(-0.043) | 136 | 6.3% | 26.6% | 20.0 | 5.0% | +1.3% | Fair price |
| Baron Noir Top factorssp_rank(+0.887), field_size(+0.233), is_grade1(-0.098) | 146 | 18.1% | 62.7% | 4.8 | 20.8% | -2.7% | Fair price |
| Sober Glory
Top Pick
Top factorssp_rank(+1.536), field_size(+0.247), trainer_winpct_race_type(+0.085) | 153 | 43.1% | 88.7% | 1.9 | 53.8% | -10.7% | Opposable |