Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Fri 10 Apr
13:45

William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 20f Handicap 22 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Indeevar Bleu

Model win chance 13.8%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Fiercely Proud
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.835), field_size(-0.162), win_rate_going_bucket(+0.081)

137 2.6% 8.3% 46.0 2.2% +0.4% Fair price
Ballykinlar
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.956), field_size(-0.148), or_current(+0.076)

129 2.5% 8.0% 48.0 2.1% +0.4% Fair price
Jazzy Matty
Top factors

or_rpr_diff(+0.230), sp_rank(-0.186), field_size(-0.182)

130 7.3% 21.8% 14.5 6.9% +0.4% Fair price
Fiveonefive
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.976), field_size(-0.169), or_current(+0.085)

130 2.3% 7.1% 50.0 2.0% +0.3% Fair price
Rambo T
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.917), field_size(-0.167), age_at_race(-0.049)

138 1.7% 5.5% 60.0 1.7% +0.1% Fair price
Bowmore
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.896), field_size(-0.180), win_rate_going_bucket(+0.058)

132 2.0% 6.3% 50.0 2.0% -0.0% Fair price
Jet To Vegas
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.969), field_size(-0.197), or_rpr_diff(+0.123)

133 2.9% 9.0% 34.0 2.9% -0.1% Fair price
Fingle Bridge
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.966), field_size(-0.183), avg_btn_last3(-0.054)

137 1.9% 6.1% 44.0 2.3% -0.4% Fair price
Emidio Pepe
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.182), field_size(-0.149), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.074)

130 9.0% 26.2% 10.5 9.5% -0.6% Fair price
Captain Teague
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.667), field_size(-0.173), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.088)

136 3.4% 10.7% 24.0 4.2% -0.7% Fair price
Sir Galahad
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.991), field_size(-0.171), avg_btn_last3(+0.101)

126 2.9% 9.1% 27.0 3.7% -0.8% Fair price
Swindon Village
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.910), field_size(-0.190), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.064)

133 2.3% 7.2% 32.0 3.1% -0.8% Fair price
Joyeuse
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.706), field_size(-0.217), combo_winpct(+0.064)

137 9.9% 28.6% 9.2 10.9% -1.0% Fair price
Top Jimmy
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.695), field_size(-0.137), or_current(+0.100)

128 3.9% 11.9% 20.0 5.0% -1.1% Fair price
Trustintimes
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.642), field_size(-0.213), or_rpr_diff(+0.102)

127 3.6% 11.3% 19.5 5.1% -1.5% Fair price
Ike Sport
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.973), field_size(-0.161), or_current(+0.062)

126 2.0% 6.3% 26.0 3.9% -1.9% Fair price
Hot Fuss
Top factors

field_size(-0.140), sp_rank(+0.134), combo_winpct(+0.064)

132 7.5% 22.4% 10.5 9.5% -2.0% Fair price
Favour And Fortune
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.228), field_size(-0.177), trainer_winpct_30d(+0.039)

140 4.5% 14.0% 15.0 6.7% -2.1% Fair price
Act Of Authority
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.391), field_size(-0.152), or_current(+0.075)

136 3.8% 11.9% 16.5 6.1% -2.2% Fair price
Wellington Arch
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.364), field_size(-0.212), pct_trouble(-0.069)

137 7.4% 22.0% 10.0 10.0% -2.6% Fair price
Indeevar Bleu Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.257), field_size(-0.346), race_class_num(-0.071)

138 13.8% 37.9% 6.0 16.7% -2.9% Fair price
Faivoir
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.586), field_size(-0.153), days_since_last_win(-0.063)

130 2.8% 8.6% 17.5 5.7% -3.0% Fair price