Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Fri 10 Apr
17:15

Debenhams Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 2 16.5f Handicap 22 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Ehteyat

Model win chance 17.0%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Pourquoi Pas Papa
Top factors

field_size(-0.158), avg_btn_last3(+0.119), or_current(+0.055)

129 8.6% 25.6% 11.5 8.7% -0.1% Fair price
Mr McLoughlan
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.953), field_size(-0.164), trainer_winpct_class(+0.090)

122 2.3% 7.4% 32.0 3.1% -0.8% Fair price
The Mighty Celt
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.925), field_size(-0.196), or_current(+0.060)

131 2.6% 8.4% 26.0 3.9% -1.2% Fair price
Star Of Guiting
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.337), or_current(+0.132), field_size(-0.109)

121 4.4% 13.8% 17.0 5.9% -1.5% Fair price
Last Kingdom
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.955), field_size(-0.180), or_current(+0.054)

129 1.7% 5.5% 30.0 3.3% -1.7% Fair price
Wandering Ego
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.760), field_size(-0.173), or_current(+0.109)

124 3.9% 12.4% 17.5 5.7% -1.8% Fair price
Litleangel Duseuil
Top factors

sp_rank(-1.018), field_size(-0.199), or_current(+0.077)

127 1.7% 5.6% 28.0 3.6% -1.8% Fair price
Gooloogong
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.913), field_size(-0.171), or_current(+0.061)

122 1.8% 5.7% 25.0 4.0% -2.2% Fair price
Charlus
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.912), field_size(-0.201), or_current(+0.058)

128 1.9% 6.2% 24.0 4.2% -2.2% Fair price
Wreckless Eric
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.177), field_size(-0.160), or_current(+0.074)

129 3.8% 12.0% 16.5 6.1% -2.3% Fair price
Melon
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.906), field_size(-0.151), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.117)

124 2.6% 8.5% 20.0 5.0% -2.4% Fair price
Rubber Ball
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.325), field_size(-0.161), or_current(+0.094)

128 3.5% 11.0% 17.0 5.9% -2.4% Fair price
Afadil
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.383), field_size(-0.134), or_current(+0.104)

120 3.3% 10.6% 17.0 5.9% -2.5% Fair price
Laafi
Top factors

field_size(-0.176), sp_rank(-0.108), or_current(+0.085)

135 3.7% 11.7% 16.0 6.3% -2.6% Fair price
Static
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.900), field_size(-0.186), or_current(+0.057)

125 2.1% 6.7% 20.0 5.0% -2.9% Fair price
No Ordinary Joe
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.362), field_size(-0.126), or_current(+0.086)

120 2.9% 9.2% 17.0 5.9% -3.0% Fair price
Captain Ryan Matt
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.924), field_size(-0.208), or_current(+0.044)

132 1.7% 5.5% 18.5 5.4% -3.7% Opposable
Hamsiyann
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.923), field_size(-0.171), or_current(+0.074)

123 1.7% 5.4% 18.5 5.4% -3.7% Opposable
Sherminator
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.176), field_size(-0.155), trainer_winpct_30d(+0.052)

125 5.8% 17.9% 7.0 14.3% -8.5% Opposable
Harry Lowes
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.496), field_size(-0.192), or_current(+0.037)

124 8.1% 24.4% 5.7 17.5% -9.4% Opposable
Ehteyat Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.325), field_size(-0.314), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.065)

125 17.0% 45.3% 1.0 98.0% -81.1% Opposable
Wild Bill Hickok
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.357), field_size(-0.346), or_current(-0.053)

135 15.0% 41.2% 1.0 98.0% -83.0% Opposable