Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
15:05

Jet2 Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 24.5f Grade 1 12 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Honesty Policy

Model win chance 37.1%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Honesty Policy Top Pick Bet Plan A 3.0pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.544), combo_winpct(+0.099), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.078)

155 37.1% 79.2% 4.3 23.3% +13.9% Strong value
Hiddenvalley Lake
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.640), or_rpr_diff(+0.127), rpr_best_last3(+0.090)

158 13.7% 44.4% 8.0 12.5% +1.2% Fair price
Lavida Adiva
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.686), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.083), avg_btn_last3(+0.071)

136 3.0% 11.2% 42.0 2.4% +0.6% Fair price
Take No Chances
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.628), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.092), is_grade1(-0.046)

145 3.2% 12.1% 32.0 3.1% +0.1% Fair price
Happy Jacky
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.705), or_current(+0.074), age_at_race(-0.057)

144 2.5% 9.5% 34.0 2.9% -0.4% Fair price
Doddiethegreat
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.618), age_at_race(-0.068), career_runs(-0.041)

147 2.5% 9.5% 27.0 3.7% -1.2% Fair price
Air Of Entitlement
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.251), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.065), combo_winpct(+0.058)

144 6.0% 21.6% 13.0 7.7% -1.7% Fair price
Hewick
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.490), rpr_best_last3(+0.048), is_grade1(-0.047)

152 2.8% 10.4% 18.0 5.6% -2.8% Fair price
Jingko Blue
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.386), is_grade1(-0.063), or_rpr_diff(-0.049)

153 7.9% 27.9% 8.0 12.5% -4.6% Opposable
Impose Toi
Top factors

jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.076), rpr_best_last3(+0.068), combo_winpct(+0.055)

158 5.9% 21.6% 8.6 11.6% -5.7% Opposable
Strong Leader
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.869), or_rpr_diff(+0.070), age_at_race(-0.061)

155 11.7% 39.1% 5.4 18.5% -6.8% Opposable
Home By The Lee
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.261), or_current(-0.092), age_at_race(-0.084)

161 3.6% 13.5% 9.2 10.9% -7.2% Opposable