Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
12:45

Hallgarten & Novum Wines Maghull Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 16f Grade 1 8 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Salvator Mundi

Model win chance 33.3%

1pt Win

Pending

Strong-Value Overlay

1 bet in this race

Win

+0.00

E/W

+0.00

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Mighty Bandit Bet Plan A 2.7pt
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.998), field_size(+0.175), trainer_winpct_race_type(+0.066)

152 23.8% 67.4% 5.8 17.2% +6.6% Strong value
Mirabad
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.423), field_size(+0.095), or_current(+0.080)

138 4.2% 16.3% 34.0 2.9% +1.3% Fair price
Alnilam
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.247), field_size(+0.122), is_grade1(-0.082)

141 5.1% 19.4% 26.0 3.9% +1.2% Fair price
No Questions Asked
Top factors

field_size(+0.071), is_grade1(-0.067), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.053)

149 6.5% 24.3% 15.0 6.7% -0.2% Fair price
King Of Kingsfield
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.238), is_grade1(-0.093), field_size(+0.054)

144 3.2% 12.5% 26.0 3.9% -0.7% Fair price
Kala Conti
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.795), field_size(+0.093), days_since_last_win(-0.087)

148 16.3% 53.1% 5.8 17.2% -1.0% Fair price
Be Aware
Top factors

field_size(+0.092), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.088), sp_rank(+0.083)

147 7.7% 28.5% 11.0 9.1% -1.4% Fair price
Salvator Mundi Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.528), field_size(+0.102), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.084)

152 33.3% 78.5% 1.9 52.1% -18.8% Opposable