Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
12:45

Hallgarten & Novum Wines Maghull Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree chase 1 16f Grade 1 10 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Salvator Mundi

Model win chance 12.7%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Salvator Mundi Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.532), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.112), rpr_best_last3(+0.067)

152 12.7% 36.9% No odds
Mighty Bandit
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.496), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.062), field_size(+0.059)

152 12.2% 35.8% No odds
Be Aware
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.511), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.101), trainer_winpct_race_type(+0.055)

147 11.9% 34.9% No odds
Mirabad
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.538), is_grade1(-0.063), place_rate_overall(+0.054)

138 11.1% 33.0% No odds
No Questions Asked
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.471), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.091), chase_starts(-0.073)

149 9.6% 29.0% No odds
Kala Conti
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.495), is_grade1(-0.054), race_class_num(-0.045)

148 9.5% 28.7% No odds
Alnilam
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.467), is_grade1(-0.057), avg_btn_last3(+0.043)

141 9.0% 27.6% No odds
Queens Gamble
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.436), days_since_last_win(-0.074), days_since_last_run(-0.071)

131 8.7% 26.7% No odds
Stencil
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.398), days_since_last_run(-0.059), chase_starts(-0.050)

139 8.7% 26.6% No odds
King Of Kingsfield
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.388), is_grade1(-0.055), race_class_num(-0.038)

144 6.6% 20.8% No odds