Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
14:30

William Hill Handicap Chase (Registered as The Freebooter Handicap Chase) (Premier Handicap) (GBB)

Aintree chase 1 25f Handicap 26 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Mr Hope Street

Model win chance 5.6%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Mr Hope Street Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.264), field_size(-0.316), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.081)

130 5.6% 16.5% No odds
Lookaway
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.329), field_size(-0.267), age_at_race(-0.119)

145 4.9% 14.5% No odds
Konfusion
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.264), field_size(-0.288), avg_btn_last3(+0.077)

145 4.7% 14.0% No odds
U Cant Be Serious
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.237), field_size(-0.301), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.060)

128 4.6% 13.6% No odds
Josh The Boss
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.263), field_size(-0.283), avg_btn_last3(+0.090)

131 4.5% 13.4% No odds
Bad
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.281), field_size(-0.341), career_runs(-0.071)

143 4.0% 12.1% No odds
Leave Of Absence
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.329), field_size(-0.329), age_at_race(-0.103)

145 4.0% 11.9% No odds
Erne River
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.107), field_size(-0.328), or_rpr_diff(+0.168)

126 4.0% 11.9% No odds
Brave Fortune
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.187), field_size(-0.382), race_class_num(-0.055)

138 3.9% 11.8% No odds
Jipcot
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.258), field_size(-0.329), days_since_last_run(-0.040)

132 3.9% 11.8% No odds
In Love
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.316), field_size(-0.320), race_class_num(-0.056)

134 3.9% 11.8% No odds
Deep Cave
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.245), field_size(-0.334), days_since_last_run(-0.062)

140 3.8% 11.4% No odds
Uncle Bert
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.220), field_size(-0.316), age_at_race(-0.056)

137 3.7% 11.0% No odds
Cruz Control
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.256), field_size(-0.306), age_at_race(-0.116)

140 3.6% 10.9% No odds
Myretown
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.162), field_size(-0.337), age_at_race(-0.059)

140 3.5% 10.7% No odds
Chance Another One
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.204), field_size(-0.284), avg_btn_last3(-0.059)

129 3.5% 10.6% No odds
Glengouly
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.161), field_size(-0.327), age_at_race(-0.074)

129 3.5% 10.6% No odds
Imperial Saint
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.215), field_size(-0.335), chase_starts(-0.051)

144 3.5% 10.6% No odds
Stolen Silver
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.147), field_size(-0.274), trainer_winpct_class(-0.049)

133 3.5% 10.5% No odds
Fortunate Man
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.217), field_size(-0.383), race_class_num(-0.058)

127 3.5% 10.4% No odds
Aint That A Shame
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.198), field_size(-0.285), age_at_race(-0.084)

142 3.4% 10.3% No odds
Kish Bank
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.201), field_size(-0.400), race_class_num(-0.056)

130 3.4% 10.2% No odds
Kelce
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.169), field_size(-0.323), trainer_winpct_class(-0.047)

125 3.4% 10.2% No odds
Peaky Boy
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.281), field_size(-0.349), avg_btn_last3(-0.079)

137 3.4% 10.2% No odds
Amirite
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.192), field_size(-0.309), avg_btn_last3(-0.067)

144 3.3% 9.9% No odds
Hold Your Fort
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.120), field_size(-0.319), age_at_race(-0.064)

127 3.0% 9.2% No odds