Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
14:30

William Hill Handicap Chase (Registered As The Freebooter Handicap Chase) (Premier Handicap) (GBB)

Aintree chase 1 25f Handicap 17 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Mr Hope Street

Model win chance 22.7%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Brave Fortune
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.854), field_size(-0.187), jockey_festival_winpct(+0.052)

138 14.5% 41.1% 7.6 13.2% +1.3% Fair price
Konfusion
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.337), field_size(-0.100), avg_btn_last3(+0.084)

145 6.0% 19.2% 16.5 6.1% -0.0% Fair price
Stolen Silver
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.911), field_size(-0.088), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.073)

133 2.4% 8.0% 34.0 2.9% -0.5% Fair price
Bad
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.856), field_size(-0.115), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.087)

143 2.9% 9.5% 29.0 3.5% -0.6% Fair price
Aint That A Shame
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.631), field_size(-0.123), age_at_race(-0.057)

142 3.1% 10.2% 23.0 4.3% -1.3% Fair price
Chance Another One
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.954), field_size(-0.129), avg_btn_last3(-0.061)

129 2.2% 7.2% 28.0 3.6% -1.4% Fair price
Josh The Boss
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.563), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.111), field_size(-0.097)

131 4.3% 13.9% 17.0 5.9% -1.6% Fair price
Amirite
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.619), field_size(-0.133), avg_btn_last3(-0.090)

144 2.7% 9.0% 23.0 4.3% -1.6% Fair price
Glengouly
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.891), field_size(-0.111), or_current(+0.074)

129 2.5% 8.3% 24.0 4.2% -1.7% Fair price
In Love
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.679), field_size(-0.110), or_current(+0.104)

134 2.6% 8.7% 23.0 4.3% -1.7% Fair price
Uncle Bert
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.569), field_size(-0.120), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.105)

137 4.0% 13.0% 17.0 5.9% -1.9% Fair price
Myretown
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.171), field_size(-0.103), rpr_best_last3(+0.057)

140 4.8% 15.5% 13.0 7.7% -2.9% Fair price
Leave Of Absence
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.268), field_size(-0.107), age_at_race(-0.090)

145 3.8% 12.5% 14.5 6.9% -3.1% Opposable
Deep Cave
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.461), field_size(-0.150), pct_trouble(-0.118)

140 8.9% 27.4% 8.0 12.5% -3.6% Opposable
Cruz Control
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.205), field_size(-0.136), age_at_race(-0.099)

140 7.2% 22.5% 8.4 11.9% -4.7% Opposable
Lookaway
Top factors

age_at_race(-0.111), field_size(-0.097), avg_btn_last3(+0.060)

145 5.3% 17.1% 9.8 10.2% -4.9% Opposable
Mr Hope Street Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.288), field_size(-0.255), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.068)

130 22.7% 56.9% 3.5 28.2% -5.5% Opposable