Turners Mersey Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Top-Pick Benchmark
Bossman Jack
Model win chance 29.3%
Pending
| Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bossman Jack
Top Pick
Plan A 2.1pt
Top factorssp_rank(+1.525), field_size(-0.074), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.071) | 146 | 29.3% | 68.6% | 4.0 | 25.3% | +4.0% | Fair price |
| Kosac dOudairies Top factorssp_rank(-0.680), or_current(+0.086), is_grade1(-0.053) | 125 | 3.7% | 12.8% | 34.0 | 2.9% | +0.8% | Fair price |
| Came From Nowhere Top factorssp_rank(-0.877), avg_btn_last3(+0.081), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.079) | 132 | 3.1% | 10.7% | 38.0 | 2.6% | +0.4% | Fair price |
| Charisma Cat Top factorssp_rank(-0.356), or_current(+0.084), is_grade1(-0.073) | 132 | 5.9% | 19.9% | 18.0 | 5.6% | +0.4% | Fair price |
| Onlyforfrankie Top factorssp_rank(-0.679), or_current(+0.089), is_grade1(-0.059) | 127 | 2.9% | 9.9% | 34.0 | 2.9% | -0.1% | Fair price |
| Zanndabad Top factorssp_rank(-0.677), or_current(+0.096), is_grade1(-0.058) | 137 | 3.0% | 10.4% | 28.0 | 3.6% | -0.6% | Fair price |
| Masked Man Top factorssp_rank(-0.244), or_current(+0.084), is_grade1(-0.062) | 133 | 4.6% | 15.8% | 17.0 | 5.9% | -1.3% | Fair price |
| Rooster Crowing Top factorssp_rank(-0.224), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.057), is_grade1(-0.048) | 146 | 4.9% | 16.6% | 16.0 | 6.3% | -1.4% | Fair price |
| Lord Byron Top factorssp_rank(-0.612), avg_btn_last3(+0.084), is_grade1(-0.064) | 140 | 3.6% | 12.3% | 20.0 | 5.0% | -1.4% | Fair price |
| Montemares Top factorssp_rank(+0.416), is_grade1(-0.077), field_size(-0.059) | 135 | 8.9% | 28.8% | 8.4 | 11.9% | -3.0% | Opposable |
| Scorpio Rising Top factorssp_rank(+0.359), is_grade1(-0.064), place_rate_overall(+0.056) | 137 | 8.7% | 28.4% | 8.4 | 11.9% | -3.2% | Opposable |
| Soldier Reeves Top factorsis_grade1(-0.061), place_rate_overall(+0.050), race_class_num(-0.042) | 146 | 6.1% | 20.4% | 10.0 | 10.0% | -3.9% | Opposable |
| Ballyfad Top factorssp_rank(+0.733), combo_winpct(+0.073), field_size(-0.070) | 148 | 15.4% | 45.4% | 4.5 | 22.2% | -6.8% | Opposable |