Racing Model

Racing Value Finder

Aintree Festival Tracker • April 9-11, 2026

← Sat 11 Apr
13:20

William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree hurdle 1 24.5f Handicap 22 runners

Top-Pick Benchmark

Supremely West

Model win chance 16.9%

1pt Win

Pending

Horse OR Win% Place% SP Implied Value Verdict
Idem
Top factors

or_current(+0.123), field_size(-0.103), sp_rank(-0.096)

128 6.5% 19.8% 17.0 5.9% +0.6% Fair price
Absolutely Doyen
Top factors

field_size(-0.187), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.096), combo_winpct(+0.055)

135 6.4% 19.5% 15.5 6.5% -0.0% Fair price
Eagle Fang
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.880), field_size(-0.181), class_drop_from_grade1(+0.061)

143 1.8% 5.9% 42.0 2.4% -0.5% Fair price
Jeriko Du Reponet
Top factors

field_size(-0.153), jockey_winpct_race_type(+0.077), combo_winpct(+0.071)

147 5.5% 16.9% 15.5 6.5% -1.0% Fair price
Lihyan
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.151), field_size(-0.125), or_current(+0.069)

128 4.7% 14.6% 17.0 5.9% -1.2% Fair price
Harbour Lake
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.865), field_size(-0.166), age_at_race(-0.069)

142 2.1% 6.6% 30.0 3.3% -1.3% Fair price
Minella Rescue
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.969), field_size(-0.193), or_rpr_diff(+0.083)

136 2.5% 8.1% 26.0 3.9% -1.3% Fair price
Chart Topper
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.924), field_size(-0.198), jockey_winpct_race_type(-0.038)

140 1.9% 6.1% 29.0 3.5% -1.5% Fair price
Bold Endeavour
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.167), field_size(-0.151), or_current(+0.082)

130 4.3% 13.5% 17.0 5.9% -1.6% Fair price
Supremely West Top Pick
Top factors

sp_rank(+1.310), field_size(-0.343), or_current(-0.077)

144 16.9% 44.8% 5.4 18.5% -1.6% Fair price
Kakas Cousin
Top factors

field_size(-0.183), sp_rank(+0.141), avg_btn_last3(+0.051)

128 6.6% 20.1% 12.0 8.3% -1.7% Fair price
Push The Button
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.942), field_size(-0.183), or_current(+0.053)

135 2.1% 6.6% 26.0 3.9% -1.8% Fair price
Kikijo
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.879), field_size(-0.184), combo_winpct(+0.052)

135 2.0% 6.5% 24.0 4.2% -2.1% Fair price
Get On George
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.928), field_size(-0.152), avg_btn_last3(+0.085)

132 2.9% 9.0% 20.0 5.0% -2.1% Fair price
Duke Silver
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.652), field_size(-0.180), or_current(+0.049)

133 3.1% 9.7% 19.0 5.3% -2.2% Fair price
Wade Out
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.924), field_size(-0.191), race_class_num(-0.041)

135 1.7% 5.5% 25.0 4.0% -2.3% Fair price
Ace Of Spades
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.884), field_size(-0.213), avg_btn_last3(+0.058)

139 2.2% 7.1% 21.0 4.8% -2.5% Fair price
Good To Be Alive
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.908), field_size(-0.167), avg_btn_last3(+0.068)

133 2.4% 7.5% 20.0 5.0% -2.6% Fair price
Ikarak
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.767), field_size(-0.181), or_current(+0.077)

134 2.4% 7.7% 19.5 5.1% -2.7% Fair price
Quantum Quest
Top factors

sp_rank(-0.654), field_size(-0.181), or_current(+0.088)

129 2.8% 8.7% 17.5 5.7% -3.0% Fair price
Fortune Timmy
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.403), field_size(-0.189), jockey_winpct_90d(-0.063)

132 8.0% 24.0% 9.0 11.1% -3.1% Opposable
Hold The Serve
Top factors

sp_rank(+0.772), field_size(-0.257), or_current(+0.058)

130 11.1% 31.9% 6.6 15.2% -4.0% Opposable