Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Top-Pick Benchmark
Smile John Boy
Model win chance 16.8%
Pending
| Horse | OR | Win% | Place% | SP | Implied | Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicker Top factorssp_rank(-0.894), field_size(-0.147), combo_winpct(+0.074) | — | 1.8% | 6.2% | 26.0 | 3.9% | -2.0% | Fair price |
| Governors Rock Top factorssp_rank(-0.966), field_size(-0.158), or_current(-0.103) | — | 1.2% | 4.1% | 30.0 | 3.3% | -2.1% | Fair price |
| Merlin Allen Top factorssp_rank(-0.920), field_size(-0.128), avg_btn_last3(+0.081) | — | 1.6% | 5.3% | 26.0 | 3.9% | -2.3% | Fair price |
| Merry Away Top factorssp_rank(-0.950), field_size(-0.182), or_current(-0.084) | — | 1.3% | 4.5% | 21.0 | 4.8% | -3.4% | Opposable |
| Moments Away Top factorssp_rank(-0.964), field_size(-0.127), or_current(-0.086) | — | 1.4% | 4.9% | 17.0 | 5.9% | -4.4% | Opposable |
| Le Roi Remi Top factorssp_rank(-0.934), field_size(-0.137), or_current(-0.070) | — | 1.3% | 4.3% | 17.0 | 5.9% | -4.6% | Opposable |
| Risky Obsession Top factorssp_rank(-0.939), field_size(-0.155), or_current(-0.102) | — | 1.1% | 3.9% | 12.0 | 8.3% | -7.2% | Opposable |
| Ronnie Russet Top factorssp_rank(-0.995), field_size(-0.137), or_current(-0.097) | — | 1.1% | 3.8% | 11.0 | 9.1% | -8.0% | Opposable |
| Rices Pool Top factorssp_rank(-0.738), field_size(-0.166), or_current(-0.118) | — | 1.9% | 6.4% | 10.0 | 10.0% | -8.1% | Opposable |
| One Knight Top factorssp_rank(-0.768), field_size(-0.166), or_current(-0.137) | — | 1.5% | 5.1% | 10.0 | 10.0% | -8.5% | Opposable |
| The Perfect Poet Top factorssp_rank(-0.761), field_size(-0.186), or_current(-0.131) | — | 1.4% | 4.9% | 9.0 | 11.1% | -9.7% | Opposable |
| Look Me Top factorssp_rank(-0.655), field_size(-0.155), avg_btn_last3(+0.079) | — | 2.1% | 7.1% | 4.0 | 25.0% | -22.9% | Opposable |
| Bass Hunter Top factorssp_rank(-0.448), field_size(-0.159), or_current(-0.112) | — | 3.1% | 10.5% | 3.2 | 31.3% | -28.1% | Opposable |
| Smile John Boy
Top Pick
Top factorssp_rank(+1.528), field_size(-0.270), avg_btn_last3(+0.069) | — | 16.8% | 46.9% | 1.0 | 99.0% | -82.2% | Opposable |
| Forthfactor Top factorssp_rank(+1.545), field_size(-0.267), race_class_num(-0.054) | — | 16.5% | 46.4% | 1.0 | 99.0% | -82.5% | Opposable |
| Thelastmanfrompenr Top factorssp_rank(+1.530), field_size(-0.240), race_class_num(-0.048) | — | 15.6% | 44.5% | 1.0 | 99.0% | -83.4% | Opposable |
| Barachiel Top factorssp_rank(+1.501), field_size(-0.234), race_class_num(-0.053) | — | 13.1% | 38.6% | 1.0 | 99.0% | -85.9% | Opposable |
| Nightflyer Top factorssp_rank(+1.559), field_size(-0.246), rpr_current(-0.075) | — | 12.6% | 37.6% | 1.0 | 99.0% | -86.4% | Opposable |
| Cooltobecareless Top factorssp_rank(-0.362), field_size(-0.175), or_current(-0.141) | — | 2.3% | 7.8% | 1.1 | 95.2% | -92.9% | Opposable |
| Makingplansfor Top factorssp_rank(-0.261), or_current(-0.174), field_size(-0.114) | — | 2.1% | 7.2% | 1.0 | 98.0% | -95.9% | Opposable |